Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

Most likely right now
Andy Beshear
28%
PoliticsVol $63Total volume $9.3KLiquidity $83Kin 1.4 years (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Andy Beshear
28.5%
Gavin Newsom
18.9%
Kamala Harris
12.0%
Pete Buttigieg
11.0%
1.0
Rahm Emanuel
9.50%
Ro Khanna
9.50%
Stephen A. Smith
4.45%
1.7
Josh Shapiro
4.15%
Jon Ossoff
1.80%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
0.75%
Jon Stewart
0.60%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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