Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
Polymarket traders put "Andy Beshear" at 20.5% on "Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?". $19 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Andy Beshear
–21%
PoliticsVol $19Total volume $14KLiquidity $119Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Andy Beshear
20.5%
–
Gavin Newsom
18.6%
–
Pete Buttigieg
17.5%
–
Ro Khanna
15.5%
–
Kamala Harris
12.5%
–
Rahm Emanuel
10.0%
–
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
4.30%
–
Jon Ossoff
1.95%
–
Josh Shapiro
1.80%
–
Jon Stewart
0.40%
–
Stephen A. Smith
0.40%
–
Probability over time
Andy Beshear
Gavin Newsom
Pete Buttigieg
Ro Khanna
Kamala Harris
Rahm Emanuel
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
