Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
Most likely right now
Andy Beshear
–28%
PoliticsVol $63Total volume $9.3KLiquidity $83Kin 1.4 years (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Andy Beshear
28.5%
–
Gavin Newsom
18.9%
–
Kamala Harris
12.0%
–
Pete Buttigieg
11.0%
▼1.0
Rahm Emanuel
9.50%
–
Ro Khanna
9.50%
–
Stephen A. Smith
4.45%
▲1.7
Josh Shapiro
4.15%
–
Jon Ossoff
1.80%
–
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
0.75%
–
Jon Stewart
0.60%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
