Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Samuel Alito" at 44.5% on "Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?". $400 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Samuel Alito
–45%
PoliticsVol $400Total volume $400Liquidity $570in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Samuel Alito
44.5%
–
Howard Lutnick
26.5%
–
Donald Trump
25.0%
–
Clarence Thomas
18.0%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
15.0%
–
Todd Blanche
15.0%
–
Nobody
15.0%
–
JD Vance
14.0%
–
Pete Hegseth
14.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
