Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
Most likely right now
Rand Paul
▼14.024%
PoliticsVol $45Total volume $8.3KLiquidity $61Kin 1.4 years (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Rand Paul
23.9%
▼14.0
Marjorie Taylor Greene
21.8%
–
Ron DeSantis
16.0%
▲1.5
Ted Cruz
14.5%
▲4.0
J.D. Vance
12.5%
–
Vivek Ramaswamy
12.0%
▼2.5
Donald Trump Jr.
5.85%
–
Marco Rubio
4.70%
▼1.4
Donald Trump
4.40%
▼1.9
Glenn Youngkin
1.30%
▲1.1
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
