Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Most likely right now
Grüne
1.587%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $4.4KLiquidity $46Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Grüne
86.5%
1.5
SPD
86.5%
Linke
71.0%
1.5
CDU
43.0%
3.0
FDP
5.50%
BSW
3.50%
AfD
2.20%
FW
1.45%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.