Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?
Polymarket traders put "SPD" at 77.5% on "Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?". Down 8.2%p from yesterday. $547 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 21.
Most likely right now
SPD
▼8.278%
PoliticsVol $547Total volume $19KLiquidity $33KClosed (Sep 21)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
SPD
77.5%
▼8.2
Grüne
74.2%
▼18.7
BSW
4.95%
–
FDP
3.00%
–
AfD
2.20%
–
FW
2.15%
–
Probability over time
SPD
Grüne
BSW
FDP
AfD
FW
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
