Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

Polymarket traders put "CDU" at 51.5% on "Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $378 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
CDU
4.052%
PoliticsVol $378Total volume $11KLiquidity $24Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
CDU
51.5%
4.0
SPD
47.0%
10.0
AfD
42.0%
Grüne
26.0%
26.5
FDP
16.5%
5.0
Linke
14.5%
2.0
BSW
10.5%
4.5

Probability over time

CDU
SPD
AfD
Grüne
FDP
Linke
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.