Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
Polymarket traders put "Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)" at 79.5% on "Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?". Unchanged from yesterday. $656 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 14.
Most likely right now
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
–80%
PoliticsVol $656Total volume $241KLiquidity $71KComments 27Closed (Sep 14)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
79.5%
–
Green Party (MP)
66.5%
▼11.0
Centre Party (C)
58.0%
▲7.5
Left Party (V)
22.0%
▲4.5
Christian Democrats (KD)
20.0%
–
Moderate Party (M)
19.5%
▼0.5
Liberals (L)
18.5%
▲0.5
Sweden Democrats (SD)
7.20%
–
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
0.30%
–
Probability over time
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
Green Party (MP)
Centre Party (C)
Left Party (V)
Christian Democrats (KD)
Moderate Party (M)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
