Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Most likely right now
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2.592%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $13KLiquidity $45Kin 5 months (Jan 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
92.0%
2.5
Green Party (MP)
82.0%
2.5
Centre Party (C)
61.0%
10.0
Left Party (V)
56.0%
4.5
Moderate Party (M)
45.5%
2.0
Christian Democrats (KD)
22.5%
0.5
Sweden Democrats (SD)
9.50%
3.0
Liberals (L)
7.50%
10.0
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
4.55%
1.8

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.