Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Polymarket traders put "Ra'am" at 83.0% on "Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?". $15 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
Ra'am
83%
PoliticsVol $15Total volume $15Liquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Oct 27)
Current probability

Sep 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Ra'am
83.0%
RZP-Zehut
78.5%
Amcha Yisrael
51.5%
Reservists and New Economic Party
46.0%
Blue & White
26.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.