Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?

Polymarket traders put "Nuevas Ideas (NI)" at 61.5% on "Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?". $192 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
Nuevas Ideas (NI)
–62%
PoliticsVol $192Total volume $192Liquidity $1.2Kin 5 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Nuevas Ideas (NI)
61.5%
–
ARENA
21.4%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.