Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 78.5% on "Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?". $161 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democratic Party
–79%
PoliticsVol $161Total volume $13KLiquidity $36Kin 9 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democratic Party
78.5%
–
Republican Party
15.5%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Democratic Party
Republican Party
2026-09-11 ~ 2026-10-26 · y-axis %
