Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Republican Party" at 93.5% on "Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?". $626 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican Party
94%
PoliticsVol $626Total volume $626Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 4)
Current probability

Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican Party
93.5%
Democratic Party
6.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.