Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Republican Party" at 93.5% on "Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?". Down 0.7%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican Party
▼0.794%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $5.5KLiquidity $57Kin 7 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 27 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican Party
93.5%
▼0.7
Democratic Party
5.50%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Republican Party
Democratic Party
2026-09-11 ~ 2026-10-27 · y-axis %
