Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 85.5% on "Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?". $131 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democratic Party
–86%
PoliticsVol $131Total volume $4.1KLiquidity $30Kin 4 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democratic Party
85.5%
–
Republican Party
12.5%
▲1.0

Probability over time

Democratic Party
Republican Party
02550751009/119/209/2910/810/1710/2610/31
2026-09-11 ~ 2026-10-31 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.