Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket traders put "Democratic" at 57.5% on "Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?". $357 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 7.

Most likely right now
Democratic
57%
PoliticsVol $357Total volume $2.1MLiquidity $358KComments 90in 2.2 years (Nov 7)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democratic
57.5%
Republican
40.5%

Probability over time

Democratic
Republican
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.