Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Most likely right now
New Mexico
0.550%
PoliticsVol $102Total volume $1.2KLiquidity $118Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
New Mexico
50.2%
0.5
Montana
50.0%
Florida (Special)
46.7%
0.5
Nebraska
46.5%
0.5
Ohio (Special)
45.5%
27.5
Minnesota
42.0%
5.5
Alaska
21.0%
Maine
20.0%
4.0
Iowa
18.0%
0.5
Texas
17.5%
Michigan
16.0%
1.5
New Hampshire
14.5%
Virginia
12.9%
37.0
North Carolina
10.5%
Georgia
8.50%
Colorado
3.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.