Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Polymarket traders put "Florida" at 98.6% on "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?". $153 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 22 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Florida
–99%
PoliticsVol $153Total volume $420KLiquidity $271KComments 5in 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Florida
98.6%
–
California
95.7%
▼1.7
Louisiana
95.0%
–
North Carolina
93.8%
▼1.2
Ohio
93.0%
–
Texas
92.9%
▼1.1
Utah
92.0%
▲0.5
Alabama
61.5%
▲5.5
Washington
5.45%
–
Indiana
4.50%
–
Nebraska
4.10%
–
Virginia
3.90%
▼0.5
Minnesota
3.90%
▼0.5
Kansas
3.40%
▼1.1
Georgia
3.25%
–
Wisconsin
3.15%
–
New Jersey
3.05%
–
Illinois
2.85%
–
Maryland
2.85%
▲0.6
New York
2.55%
–
Missouri
1.80%
–
South Carolina
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Florida
California
Louisiana
North Carolina
Ohio
Texas
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
