Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Most likely right now
Florida
–99%
PoliticsVol $80Total volume $398KLiquidity $247KComments 5in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Florida
98.6%
–
Texas
98.4%
–
California
96.7%
–
North Carolina
96.2%
–
Ohio
94.4%
▼1.1
Louisiana
92.5%
–
Alabama
91.0%
–
Utah
90.5%
–
Missouri
84.5%
–
Georgia
5.70%
–
Virginia
5.05%
–
New Jersey
4.65%
▲0.7
Minnesota
4.60%
▼0.5
Indiana
4.50%
–
Nebraska
4.40%
▼0.7
Maryland
4.30%
–
New York
3.80%
–
Washington
3.40%
–
Wisconsin
2.45%
–
Illinois
2.40%
–
Kansas
1.75%
▲0.6
South Carolina
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
