Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Gavin Newsom" at 13.0% on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?". $951 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 71 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Gavin Newsom
–13%
PoliticsVol $951Total volume $1.2MLiquidity $849KComments 21in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Gavin Newsom
13.0%
–
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12.0%
▲1.0
Mark Kelly
11.9%
▲5.5
Ron DeSantis
11.1%
▼1.6
Andy Beshear
10.7%
–
Rahm Emanuel
10.3%
–
Raphael Warnock
9.50%
–
Gina Raimondo
8.15%
–
Stephen A. Smith
7.50%
–
Glenn Youngkin
7.15%
–
Kamala Harris
6.85%
–
Don Lemon
6.70%
–
J.B. Pritzker
6.50%
–
Ted Cruz
6.40%
▲0.5
Jon Ossoff
6.25%
–
Pete Buttigieg
6.00%
▼1.7
Rand Paul
6.00%
–
Cory Booker
5.85%
–
Josh Hawley
5.75%
▲1.1
Beto O’Rourke
5.35%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5.15%
–
Josh Shapiro
5.05%
▼1.3
Brian Kemp
5.00%
–
Andrew Yang
4.65%
–
J.D. Vance
4.65%
▼1.2
Nikki Haley
4.55%
–
George Clooney
4.50%
–
Vivek Ramaswamy
4.50%
▼0.5
Marjorie Taylor Greene
4.50%
–
Hunter Biden
4.40%
–
Probability over time
Gavin Newsom
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Mark Kelly
Ron DeSantis
Andy Beshear
Rahm Emanuel
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
