Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Most likely right now
Gavin Newsom
–13%
PoliticsVol $669Total volume $1.1MLiquidity $842KComments 21in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Gavin Newsom
12.5%
–
Kamala Harris
10.5%
–
Jon Stewart
10.1%
▼0.6
Rahm Emanuel
9.50%
▼0.5
Glenn Youngkin
9.10%
▲1.3
Don Lemon
8.90%
▲0.5
Pete Buttigieg
8.50%
–
Tucker Carlson
8.50%
–
Ted Cruz
7.60%
–
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7.50%
–
Stephen A. Smith
7.50%
–
Raphael Warnock
7.50%
–
Mark Kelly
7.50%
–
Donald Trump Jr.
7.50%
–
Matt Gaetz
7.50%
–
Marjorie Taylor Greene
7.50%
–
Gretchen Whitmer
6.50%
–
Andy Beshear
6.50%
–
J.B. Pritzker
6.50%
–
Donald Trump
6.50%
–
Vivek Ramaswamy
6.50%
–
Brian Kemp
6.50%
–
Ron DeSantis
6.30%
▲3.0
Beto O’Rourke
6.15%
–
Steve Bannon
6.00%
▲0.5
Hunter Biden
5.75%
–
Cory Booker
5.55%
–
Josh Shapiro
5.50%
▲0.5
Mark Cuban
5.50%
–
George Clooney
5.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
