Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Most likely right now
J.D. Vance
▼2.191%
PoliticsVol $317Total volume $46KLiquidity $369Kin 1.4 years (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
J.D. Vance
90.8%
▼2.1
Pete Buttigieg
86.5%
–
Gavin Newsom
82.0%
–
Ted Cruz
80.5%
▼4.0
Andy Beshear
78.0%
–
Rahm Emanuel
76.5%
▲0.5
Kamala Harris
75.0%
▼0.5
Ron DeSantis
75.0%
–
J.B. Pritzker
67.0%
–
Josh Shapiro
66.0%
▼1.5
Cory Booker
65.0%
–
Mark Kelly
63.5%
–
Jon Ossoff
60.0%
–
Wes Moore
59.0%
▼0.5
Gretchen Whitmer
50.0%
▲24.5
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
49.5%
▼0.5
Andrew Yang
42.0%
–
Marco Rubio
42.0%
▲0.5
Rand Paul
36.0%
–
Jared Polis
35.5%
–
Nikki Haley
32.5%
–
Kristi Noem
30.0%
▼19.0
Tucker Carlson
29.0%
▼14.0
Byron Donalds
28.5%
▼25.5
Katie Britt
27.5%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
27.5%
–
Don Lemon
27.5%
▼18.5
Beto O’Rourke
26.5%
–
Brian Kemp
26.0%
▲0.5
Tulsi Gabbard
25.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
