Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?

Polymarket traders put "Jonas Gahr Støre" at 99.0% on "Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?". $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 27 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 13.

Most likely right now
Jonas Gahr Støre
99%
PoliticsVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $9.3Kin 9 days (Sep 13)
Current probability

Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Jonas Gahr Støre
99.0%
Alexander Stubb
97.5%
King Frederik X
97.0%
Halla Tómasdóttir
96.5%
Alar Karis
95.5%
King Willem-Alexander
95.0%
King Philippe
95.0%
Princess Beatrix
95.0%
King Carl XVI Gustaf
95.0%
Edgars Rinkēvičs
94.5%
Gitanas Nausėda
94.5%
Prince Albert II
94.5%
Crown Prince Fumihito
93.5%
Frank-Walter Steinmeier
93.5%
Mette Frederiksen
59.5%
King Felipe VI
47.5%
Emmanuel Macron
32.0%
Queen Camilla
24.0%
Mark Rutte
24.0%
Volodymyr Zelensky
13.5%
Erling Haaland
10.0%
Ursula von der Leyen
10.0%
Barack Obama
6.50%
Friedrich Merz
6.00%
Andy Burnham
5.50%
King Charles III
4.50%
Donald Trump
3.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.