Who will be arrested before 2027?
Most likely right now
Mahmoud Khalil
–30%
PoliticsVol $2.9KTotal volume $389KLiquidity $382KComments 12
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mahmoud Khalil
29.5%
–
John Brennan
18.0%
▲0.5
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
16.0%
▼0.5
James Clapper
12.5%
–
Letitia James
12.5%
–
Brandon Johnson
12.5%
–
Tom Homan
12.0%
–
Loretta Lynch
11.0%
–
Anthony Fauci
10.8%
–
Susan Rice
9.00%
–
Lisa Cook
7.50%
–
James Comey
6.35%
–
Benjamin Netanyahu
5.05%
–
Adam Schiff
2.90%
–
Pam Bondi
2.50%
–
Hillary Clinton
2.45%
–
Barack Obama
2.35%
–
Gavin Newsom
2.30%
–
John Kerry
2.10%
–
Kash Patel
1.60%
–
Bill Clinton
1.50%
–
Joe Biden
1.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
