Who will be arrested before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "John Brennan" at 20.5% on "Who will be arrested before 2027?". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $3.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 24 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
John Brennan
▼1.521%
PoliticsVol $3.8KTotal volume $487KLiquidity $598KComments 13in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
John Brennan
20.5%
▼1.5
Mahmoud Khalil
18.0%
▼0.5
Lee Jun-seok
11.4%
–
Brandon Johnson
10.0%
–
James Comey
9.80%
–
Tom Homan
8.45%
–
Anthony Fauci
7.95%
–
Susan Rice
7.50%
▲1.0
Candace Owens
6.85%
–
Benjamin Netanyahu
6.35%
–
James Clapper
5.50%
▼1.5
Pam Bondi
4.70%
–
Letitia James
4.35%
–
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
4.00%
–
Lisa Cook
3.55%
–
Gavin Newsom
3.05%
–
Adam Schiff
3.00%
–
Hillary Clinton
2.80%
–
Kash Patel
2.40%
–
Loretta Lynch
2.35%
–
Barack Obama
1.90%
–
Bill Clinton
1.75%
–
John Kerry
1.30%
–
Joe Biden
0.90%
–
Probability over time
John Brennan
Mahmoud Khalil
Lee Jun-seok
Brandon Johnson
James Comey
Tom Homan
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
