Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Most likely right now
Alibaba
1.023%
PoliticsVol $12KTotal volume $187KLiquidity $176KComments 4in 10 months (Jun 30)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Alibaba
22.5%
1.0
YMTC
17.5%
CATL
17.5%
1.0
DJI
16.5%
Tencent
15.5%
Baidu
15.5%
Hesai
14.5%
CXMT
13.5%
0.5
BYD
13.5%
Unitree
13.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.