Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
Most likely right now
Alex Norris
▲20.221%
PoliticsVol $1.9KTotal volume $78KLiquidity $210Kin 1.4 years (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Alex Norris
21.3%
▲20.2
John Healey
12.5%
–
Miatta Fahnbulleh
10.3%
–
Angela Eagle
8.65%
–
Angela Rayner
4.95%
▲0.9
Wes Streeting
4.15%
–
Ed Miliband
3.95%
▲0.8
Douglas Alexander
3.70%
▲0.9
Stephen Kinnock
3.65%
▼1.0
Louise Haigh
3.45%
▲0.7
Yvette Cooper
3.25%
▲1.9
Lucy Powell
3.25%
▲1.6
Angela Smith
2.75%
▲0.7
Shabana Mahmood
2.70%
▼2.1
Jonathan Reynolds
2.70%
▲0.8
Anneliese Midgley
2.70%
▲1.1
Heidi Alexander
2.50%
▲1.3
Lisa Nandy
2.50%
▲0.9
Pat McFadden
2.45%
▲1.9
Alan Campbell
1.10%
▲0.5
Chris Bryant
1.00%
–
Bridget Phillipson
0.80%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
