Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Jay Clayton" at 53.5% on "Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?". Up 22.0%p from yesterday. $4.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Jay Clayton
▲22.054%
PoliticsVol $4.1KTotal volume $4.1KLiquidity $37Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Jay Clayton
53.5%
▲22.0
Michael Kratsios
9.50%
▼16.5
Sean Cairncross
7.00%
▼7.0
Scott Kupor
6.00%
▼8.0
No Czar by December 31
4.05%
▼10.0
Sriram Krishnan
3.45%
▼19.1
Emil Michael
1.60%
▼12.4
Chamath Palihapitiya
1.55%
▼24.4

Probability over time

Jay Clayton
Michael Kratsios
Sean Cairncross
Scott Kupor
No Czar by December 31
Sriram Krishnan
02550751009/3010/1
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-10-01 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.