Who will join Trump at APEC in China?

Polymarket traders put "Scott Bessent" at 97.3% on "Who will join Trump at APEC in China?". $9.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 14 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
Scott Bessent
–97%
PoliticsVol $9.4KTotal volume $9.4KLiquidity $25Kin 19 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Scott Bessent
97.3%
–
Elon Musk
95.5%
–
Marco Rubio
87.0%
–
Jared Kushner
51.0%
–
Tim Cook
37.0%
–
Eric Trump
26.0%
–
Steve Witkoff
20.0%
–
Sam Altman
19.0%
–
Mark Zuckerberg
18.0%
–
Barron Trump
5.50%
–
Donald Trump Jr.
4.95%
–
Melania Trump
3.45%
–
Jensen Huang
2.05%
–
J.D. Vance
1.15%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.