Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Most likely right now
Susie Wiles
–30%
PoliticsVol $71Total volume $1.4MLiquidity $75Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Susie Wiles
30.0%
–
Howard Lutnick
29.5%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
27.0%
–
Kash Patel
25.5%
–
Pete Hegseth
24.5%
–
Kristi Noem
23.6%
–
Markwayne Mullin
23.5%
▲6.0
David Sacks
19.5%
▼1.7
Lee Zeldin
15.5%
▼0.5
John Ratcliffe
14.5%
–
Scott Bessent
9.50%
▲1.0
Stephen Miller
8.00%
–
Marco Rubio
6.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
