Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Kristi Noem" at 37.4% on "Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?". Up 4.2%p from yesterday. $727 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 15 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Kristi Noem
▲4.237%
PoliticsVol $727Total volume $1.4MLiquidity $74Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Kristi Noem
37.4%
▲4.2
Markwayne Mullin
35.0%
▲5.5
Pete Hegseth
21.5%
▼1.0
Kash Patel
18.5%
▲1.0
Howard Lutnick
18.0%
▲3.0
Russell Vought
17.5%
–
Tom Homan
17.0%
▼0.5
Susie Wiles
16.5%
▲0.5
Lee Zeldin
14.5%
–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
12.5%
▼3.5
Stephen Miller
10.0%
▼0.5
John Ratcliffe
8.00%
▲0.5
David Sacks
7.45%
–
Scott Bessent
6.50%
–
Marco Rubio
5.50%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Kristi Noem
Markwayne Mullin
Pete Hegseth
Kash Patel
Howard Lutnick
Russell Vought
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
