Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Polymarket traders put "Gadi Eizenkot" at 55.0% on "Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?". $7.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 19 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.
Most likely right now
Gadi Eizenkot
–55%
PoliticsVol $7.5KTotal volume $7.0KLiquidity $164Kin 8 days (Oct 28)
Current probability
Oct 20 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Gadi Eizenkot
55.0%
–
Benjamin Netanyahu
30.0%
–
Ayelet Shaked
8.00%
–
Yossi Cohen
5.00%
–
Yair Lapid
4.50%
–
Israel Katz
4.50%
–
Naftali Bennett
4.45%
–
Gideon Sa’ar
3.70%
–
Yair Golan
3.45%
–
Yoaz Hendel
3.30%
–
Avigdor Lieberman
3.05%
–
Yariv Levin
3.00%
–
Moshe Feiglin
2.45%
–
Amir Ohana
1.75%
–
Itamar Ben Gvir
1.70%
–
Ofer Winter
1.45%
–
Benny Gantz
1.30%
–
Gilad Erdan
0.60%
–
Nir Barkat
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
