Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Saudi Arabia" at 17.5% on "Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?". $84K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Saudi Arabia
–18%
PoliticsVol $84KTotal volume $84KLiquidity $200KComments 1in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Saudi Arabia
17.5%
–
China
10.0%
–
Russia
8.50%
–
Iran
4.25%
–
Anthropic
4.20%
–
Meta
3.75%
–
SpaceXAI / Elon Musk
3.55%
–
Israel
2.60%
–
North Korea
2.05%
–
Google
1.85%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.