Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Donald Brodie" at 32.0% on "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $271 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 28 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Donald Brodie
▲2.532%
PoliticsVol $271Total volume $505KLiquidity $346KComments 19in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Donald Brodie
32.0%
▲2.5
Stefan Brodie
16.5%
▼1.0
Ryan Salame
14.0%
–
Steve Bannon
11.3%
–
Keonne Rodriguez
10.5%
–
Matt Gaetz
7.00%
▼1.5
Roger Ver
5.85%
–
Bob Menendez
5.85%
–
Julian Assange
5.75%
–
Joe Exotic
5.50%
–
Elizabeth Holmes
4.90%
–
Young Thug
4.15%
–
Diddy
3.90%
–
Nicolas Maduro
3.80%
–
Edward Snowden
3.75%
–
Roger Stone
3.75%
–
Sam Bankman-Fried
3.65%
–
Ghislaine Maxwell
3.65%
–
Andrew Tate
3.25%
–
Eric Adams
3.25%
–
Antoine Massey
3.15%
–
Martin Shkreli
2.80%
–
Do Kwon
2.75%
–
Derek Chauvin
2.60%
–
Elon Musk
2.40%
–
Himself
2.30%
–
Hunter Biden
2.20%
–
Daniel Penny
1.05%
–
Probability over time
Donald Brodie
Stefan Brodie
Ryan Salame
Steve Bannon
Keonne Rodriguez
Matt Gaetz
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
