Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Most likely right now
Donald Brodie
24.523%
PoliticsVol $901Total volume $429KLiquidity $283KComments 19in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Donald Brodie
23.0%
24.5
Ryan Salame
23.0%
Matt Gaetz
20.5%
Keonne Rodriguez
18.5%
Daniel Penny
16.0%
2.5
Steve Bannon
16.0%
Roger Stone
15.5%
Young Thug
13.0%
Stefan Brodie
12.5%
1.0
Derek Chauvin
8.60%
Eric Adams
8.50%
Joe Exotic
8.50%
Roger Ver
7.50%
Bob Menendez
7.30%
Julian Assange
6.05%
Martin Shkreli
6.00%
Nicolas Maduro
5.75%
Ghislaine Maxwell
5.70%
Himself
5.25%
Diddy
5.15%
1.3
Andrew Tate
4.60%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4.35%
Edward Snowden
4.30%
Elizabeth Holmes
4.10%
Do Kwon
3.65%
Antoine Massey
3.60%
Hunter Biden
2.50%
Elon Musk
1.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.