Who will Trump publicly insult by November 30?

Polymarket traders put "Ilhan Omar" at 96.5% on "Who will Trump publicly insult by November 30?". $3.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
Ilhan Omar
–97%
PoliticsVol $3.8KTotal volume $3.8KLiquidity $3.1Kin 28 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Ilhan Omar
96.5%
–
Barack Obama
81.4%
–
Letitia James
72.5%
–
Hasan Piker
66.0%
–
Tucker Carlson
59.0%
–
Benjamin Netanyahu
51.5%
–
Marjorie Taylor Greene
40.0%
–
Xi Jinping
38.0%
–
Elon Musk
31.1%
–
Vladimir Putin
8.50%
–
Pope Leo XIV
6.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.