Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Polymarket traders put "James Talarico" at 100.0% on "Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?". $8.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 36 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
James Talarico
–100%
PoliticsVol $8.0KTotal volume $8.0KLiquidity $105Kin 1 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
James Talarico
100.0%
–
Joe Biden
100.0%
–
Nicolás Maduro
99.5%
–
Abdul El-Sayed
98.5%
–
J.B. Pritzker
90.5%
–
Tucker Carlson
89.5%
–
Barack Obama
87.4%
–
Jon Ossoff
87.0%
–
Kamala Harris
84.0%
–
Kaitlan Collins
83.5%
–
Hakeem Jeffries
80.5%
–
Gavin Newsom
80.0%
–
Marjorie Taylor Greene
76.0%
–
Jerome Powell
74.5%
–
Mark Carney
74.0%
–
Chuck Schumer
74.0%
–
Elizabeth Warren
73.0%
–
Letitia James
72.0%
–
Kathy Hochul
70.5%
–
Zohran Mamdani
55.5%
–
Candace Owens
55.0%
–
Ilhan Omar
36.0%
–
Jimmy Kimmel
27.5%
–
Ken Paxton
27.5%
–
Hillary Clinton
25.5%
–
Thomas Massie
22.0%
–
Stephen Colbert
16.5%
–
Emmanuel Macron
16.0%
–
Pope Leo XIV
14.5%
–
Benjamin Netanyahu
13.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
