Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Polymarket traders put "Xi Jinping" at 98.6% on "Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?". $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 23 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
Xi Jinping
–99%
PoliticsVol $2.6KTotal volume $2.6KLiquidity $3.4Kin 1 months (Oct 31)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Xi Jinping
98.6%
–
JD Vance
94.5%
–
Flávio Bolsonaro
92.0%
–
Byron Donalds
90.5%
–
Elon Musk
89.0%
–
Kevin Warsh
87.5%
–
Claudia Sheinbaum
84.0%
–
Andy Burnham
72.5%
–
Dario Amodei
72.0%
–
Dana White
69.5%
–
Zohran Mamdani
68.0%
–
Javier Milei
61.5%
–
Delcy Rodriguez
58.0%
–
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
55.5%
–
Karoline Leavitt
49.5%
–
Benjamin Netanyahu
47.5%
–
Warren Buffett
28.5%
–
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
27.0%
–
Emmanuel Macron
25.5%
–
Mark Rutte
25.0%
–
Nicki Minaj
18.5%
–
Bryson DeChambeau
17.5%
–
Gianni Infantino
15.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.