Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Polymarket traders put "Andy Burnham" at 74.5% on "Who will Trump speak to by October 31?". $74K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 22 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
Andy Burnham
–75%
PoliticsVol $74KTotal volume $74KLiquidity $23Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Andy Burnham
74.5%
–
Mohammed bin Salman
71.5%
–
Friedrich Merz
70.0%
–
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
69.0%
–
Mark Carney
68.5%
–
Mark Rutte
54.0%
–
Emmanuel Macron
42.0%
–
Vladimir Putin
36.0%
–
Elon Musk
35.5%
–
Ahmed al-Sharaa
28.5%
–
Ursula von der Leyen
23.0%
–
Lula da Silva
22.5%
–
Xi Jinping
15.0%
–
Maria Corina Machado
10.5%
–
Kim Jong Un
8.50%
–
Miguel Díaz-Canel
4.60%
–
Reza Pahlavi
4.25%
–
Pope Leo XIV
4.15%
–
Yoon Suk Yeol
1.85%
–
Mojtaba Khamenei
1.40%
–
Nicolás Maduro
1.05%
–
Masoud Pezeshkian
0.55%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.