Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Most likely right now
António Costa
▲2.9100%
PoliticsVol $6.9KTotal volume $351KLiquidity $133KComments 3in 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
António Costa
100.0%
▲2.9
Maia Sandu
100.0%
▲1.9
Andy Burnham
100.0%
▲5.0
Ursula von der Leyen
70.0%
▲3.5
Mark Rutte
68.0%
▲0.5
Jared Kushner
62.5%
▼1.5
Steve Witkoff
57.5%
▼11.5
Donald Tusk
57.0%
▼31.0
Mark Carney
53.0%
▲8.0
Emmanuel Macron
39.0%
▼5.5
Friedrich Merz
27.5%
▲2.5
António Guterres
17.5%
▼13.0
JD Vance
8.00%
–
Donald Trump
7.40%
▼0.8
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
