Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Ursula von der Leyen" at 44.0% on "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Ursula von der Leyen
▲0.544%
PoliticsVol $1.6KTotal volume $563KLiquidity $74KComments 7in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Ursula von der Leyen
44.0%
▲0.5
Mark Rutte
32.5%
▲12.0
Emmanuel Macron
18.5%
–
António Guterres
13.5%
–
Mark Carney
9.50%
▼4.0
JD Vance
6.40%
▼3.2
Donald Trump
3.75%
▼1.2
Probability over time
Ursula von der Leyen
Mark Rutte
Emmanuel Macron
António Guterres
Mark Carney
JD Vance
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
