WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 12%+" at 32.8% on "WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 27.2%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 12%+
▲27.233%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $205Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 12%+
32.8%
▲27.2
Democrat 9-12%
27.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 0-3%
27.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 3-6%
26.5%
▼6.0
Democrat 6-9%
26.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 12%+
21.5%
▼6.5
Republican 9-12%
15.5%
▲3.5
Republican 3-6%
9.00%
–
Republican 0-3%
9.00%
▲0.5
Republican 6-9%
8.00%
–
Probability over time
Republican 12%+
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 12%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
