WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 31.5% on "WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory". $81 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
–32%
PoliticsVol $81Total volume $10KLiquidity $100Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
31.5%
–
Republican 5-10%
27.5%
▲1.0
Republican 15-20%
19.4%
▲2.9
Republican 0-5%
9.85%
–
Republican 20-25%
7.30%
▲3.0
Democrat Wins
2.45%
–
Republican 30%+
2.30%
–
Republican 25-30%
1.60%
–

Probability over time

Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 20-25%
Democrat Wins
02550751008/259/89/159/229/2910/610/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.