WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30%+" at 37.0% on "WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 30%+
▼3.037%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30%+
37.0%
▼3.0
Democrat Wins
33.5%
▼0.5
Republican 15-20%
32.5%
▼4.5
Republican 20-25%
32.0%
▼2.5
Republican 5-10%
30.5%
▼1.5
Republican 25-30%
29.5%
▼0.5
Republican 10-15%
29.5%
▼3.0
Republican 0-5%
29.5%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Republican 30%+
Democrat Wins
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
