Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?" at 5.0%. Unchanged from yesterday. $37 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
–5%
PoliticsVol $37Total volume $213KLiquidity $28Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
4.95%
–
Probability over time
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
