Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

Polymarket traders put "Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?" at 13.0%. Up 0.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
▲0.513%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $25KLiquidity $4.1Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
13.0%
▲0.5

Probability over time

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.