Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Polymarket traders put "Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?" at 2.6%. It resolves on Sep 20.

Most likely right now
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
3%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.6KLiquidity $22Kin 26 days (Sep 20)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
2.60%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.