Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?" at 2.5%. Unchanged from yesterday. $2.4K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 20.

Most likely right now
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
–3%
PoliticsVol $2.4KTotal volume $343KLiquidity $93KComments 15in 10 days (Oct 20)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
2.55%
–

Probability over time

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.