Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?" at 13.5%. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
–14%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $100KLiquidity $12Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
13.5%
–
Probability over time
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
