Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?" at 14.0%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
▼0.514%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $33KLiquidity $165in 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
14.0%
▼0.5

Probability over time

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.