Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 19.0% on "Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $645 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼1.519%
PoliticsVol $645Total volume $65KLiquidity $1.5KComments 1in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 20 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
19.0%
▼1.5
October 31
8.10%
▲5.9

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
02550751009/19/109/199/2810/710/1610/20
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-10-20 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.