Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
Polymarket traders put "Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?" at 21.5%. Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $32 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
▲2.022%
PoliticsVol $32Total volume $1.3KLiquidity $15Kin 14 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
21.5%
▲2.0
Probability over time
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
2026-09-02 ~ 2026-10-21 · y-axis %
