Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

Polymarket traders put "Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?" at 15.5%. $10 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
16%
PoliticsVol $10Total volume $10Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
15.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.