Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?

Polymarket traders put "Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?" at 3.8%. $225 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Apr 19.

Most likely right now
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?
–4%
PoliticsVol $225Total volume $225Liquidity $31Kin 6 months (Apr 19)
Current probability

Oct 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?
3.80%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.