Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?

Polymarket traders put "Senate" at 49.5% on "Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?". Down 5.0%p from yesterday. $8.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Senate
▼5.050%
PoliticsVol $8.9KTotal volume $24KLiquidity $79KComments 2in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Senate
49.5%
▼5.0
President
27.0%
▼18.5
Neither
23.6%
▲21.7

Probability over time

Senate
President
Neither
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.