Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?" at 10.5%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $109 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
▼0.511%
PoliticsVol $109Total volume $91KLiquidity $13KComments 4in 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
10.5%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
