Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Most likely right now
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
–12%
PoliticsVol $52KTotal volume $3.0MLiquidity $233Kin 1.4 years (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
11.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
