Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Most likely right now
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
–8%
PoliticsVol $141Total volume $427KLiquidity $113Kin 10 months (Jun 30)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
7.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
