Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?" at 7.5%. $2.4K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jul 1.
Most likely right now
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
–8%
PoliticsVol $2.4KTotal volume $473KLiquidity $161Kin 9 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
7.50%
–
Probability over time
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
