Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2027" at 15.0% on "Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.
Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
▲0.515%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $13KLiquidity $16Kin 9 months (Jul 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
15.0%
▲0.5
December 31, 2026
8.50%
–
Probability over time
June 30, 2027
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
