Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Polymarket traders put "June 30, 2027" at 51.5% on "Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?". There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
June 30, 2027
52%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $787Liquidity $12Kin 10 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
June 30, 2027
51.5%
September 30, 2026
6.00%
December 31, 2026
6.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.