Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
Polymarket traders put "5-7" at 32.5% on "Will Claude go down on __ days in October?". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. $801 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
5-7
▲7.033%
TechVol $801Total volume $801Liquidity $1.2Kin 1 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
5-7
32.5%
▲7.0
8-10
32.5%
▲7.0
11-13
28.5%
▲3.0
14+
15.8%
▼9.7
<5
5.50%
▼20.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
