Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?

Polymarket traders put "Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?" at 83.5%. Up 1.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Dec 23.

Most likely right now
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
▲1.084%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $5.2KLiquidity $13KComments 2in 1.2 years (Dec 23)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
83.5%
▲1.0

Probability over time

Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.