Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

Polymarket traders put "Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?" at 17.5%. Down 5.5%p from yesterday. $346 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
5.518%
PoliticsVol $346Total volume $92KLiquidity $10KComments 11in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
17.5%
5.5

Probability over time

December 31, 2026
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.