Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

Polymarket traders put "Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?" at 11.5%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $70 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
▼0.512%
PoliticsVol $70Total volume $95KLiquidity $17KComments 11in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
11.5%
▼0.5

Probability over time

December 31, 2026
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.